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1.
Acta Oncol ; 63: 146-153, 2024 Apr 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38591350

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In the Nordic countries, universal healthcare access has been effective in reducing socioeconomic disparities in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) management. However, other factors, such as proximity to healthcare facilities, may still affect access to care. This study aimed at investigating the influence of residential area on NSCLC survival. METHODS: This population-based study utilized hospital records to identify NSCLC patients who underwent their initial treatment at Vaasa Central Hospital between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2020. Patients were categorized based on their postal codes into urban areas (≤50 km from the hospital) and rural areas (>50 km from the hospital). Survival rates between these two groups were compared using Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 321 patients were included in the study. Patients residing in rural areas (n = 104) exhibited poorer 12-month survival rates compared to their urban counterparts (n = 217) (unadjusted Hazard Ratio [HR]: 1.38; 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 1.01-1.89; p = 0.042). After adjusting for factors such as performance status, frailty, and stage at diagnosis in a multivariate Cox regression model, the adjusted HR increased to 1.47 (95% CI: 1.07-2.01; p = 0.017) for patients living in rural areas compared to those in urban areas. INTERPRETATION: The study findings indicate that the distance to the hospital is associated with increased lung cancer mortality. This suggests that geographical proximity may play a crucial role in the disparities observed in NSCLC survival rates. Addressing these disparities should involve strategies aimed at improving healthcare accessibility, particularly for patients residing in rural areas, to enhance NSCLC outcomes and reduce mortality.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/terapia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/terapia , Pulmão , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Taxa de Sobrevida , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde
2.
J Gastrointest Surg ; 28(4): 559-565, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38583910

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Biliary tract cancer (BTC) is an invasive adenocarcinoma affecting the hepatobiliary system, but high recurrence rates highlight the need for more effective adjuvant approaches. The modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) has been explored as an independent prognostic indicator in patients with BTC. However, consensus on its prognostic value is lacking. This meta-analysis aimed to comprehensively assess the association between mGPS and diverse clinical outcomes in BTC by systematically analyzing relevant studies. METHODS: A systematic search approach was used to look for eligible papers published until June 2023 in PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase, with a focus on overall survival (OS) and disease-free/recurrence-free survival (DFS/RFS). The prognostic potential of mGPS was assessed using hazard ratios (HRs) with corresponding 95% CIs. RESULTS: A total of 15 papers comprising 2447 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The results demonstrated that, in patients with BTC, the high mGPS was associated with poorer OS (HR=1.49, 95% CI=1.35-1.65, P<0.001) and DFS/RFS (HR=3.23, 95%CI=1.98-5.26, P=0.193). CONCLUSION: According to this meta-analysis, our study found that high mGPS was associated with poorer OS and DFS/RFS in patients with BTC.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Sistema Biliar , Humanos , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
3.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 3042, 2024 Apr 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38589358

RESUMO

The development of an effective survival prediction tool is key for reducing colorectal cancer mortality. Here, we apply a three-stage study to devise a polygenic prognostic score (PPS) for stratifying colorectal cancer overall survival. Leveraging two cohorts of 3703 patients, we first perform a genome-wide survival association analysis to develop eight candidate PPSs. Further using an independent cohort with 470 patients, we identify the 287 variants-derived PPS (i.e., PPS287) achieving an optimal prediction performance [hazard ratio (HR) per SD = 1.99, P = 1.76 × 10-8], accompanied by additional tests in two external cohorts, with HRs per SD of 1.90 (P = 3.21 × 10-14; 543 patients) and 1.80 (P = 1.11 × 10-9; 713 patients). Notably, the detrimental impact of pathologic characteristics and genetic risk could be attenuated by a healthy lifestyle, yielding a 7.62% improvement in the 5-year overall survival rate. Therefore, our findings demonstrate the integrated contribution of pathologic characteristics, germline variants, and lifestyle exposure to the prognosis of colorectal cancer patients.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais , Humanos , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Taxa de Sobrevida , Fatores de Risco , Estilo de Vida
4.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 24(1): 86, 2024 Apr 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38589783

RESUMO

Prostate cancer is the most common cancer after non-melanoma skin cancer and the second leading cause of cancer deaths in US men. Its incidence and mortality rates vary substantially across geographical regions and over time, with large disparities by race, geographic regions (i.e., Appalachia), among others. The widely used Cox proportional hazards model is usually not applicable in such scenarios owing to the violation of the proportional hazards assumption. In this paper, we fit Bayesian accelerated failure time models for the analysis of prostate cancer survival and take dependent spatial structures and temporal information into account by incorporating random effects with multivariate conditional autoregressive priors. In particular, we relax the proportional hazards assumption, consider flexible frailty structures in space and time, and also explore strategies for handling the temporal variable. The parameter estimation and inference are based on a Monte Carlo Markov chain technique under a Bayesian framework. The deviance information criterion is used to check goodness of fit and to select the best candidate model. Extensive simulations are performed to examine and compare the performances of models in different contexts. Finally, we illustrate our approach by using the 2004-2014 Pennsylvania Prostate Cancer Registry data to explore spatial-temporal heterogeneity in overall survival and identify significant risk factors.


Assuntos
Modelos Estatísticos , Neoplasias da Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Dados de Saúde Coletados Rotineiramente , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Cadeias de Markov
5.
PLoS One ; 19(4): e0299504, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38635517

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: To examine the trends in morbidity and mortality among ovarian cancer patients with liver metastases, and investigate the impact of different treatments on both overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). METHODS: 2,925 ovarian cancer patients with liver metastases from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 2010-2019 were included. The primary endpoint was considered as OS and CSS. We conducted trend analysis of the incidence, OS and CSS rates of liver metastases in ovarian cancer. Univariate and multivariate COX proportional risk models were used to investigate the association between different treatment methods and OS, and univariate and multivariate competing risk models were employed to evaluate the impact of treatment methods on CSS. RESULTS: At the end of follow-up, 689 patients remained alive. The OS and CSS rates were 76.44% and 72.99% for all patients, respectively. There was a significant decreasing trend in the incidence [average annual percent change (AAPC) = -2.3, 95% confidence interval (CI): -3.9, -0.7], all-cause mortality (AAPC = -12.8, 95% CI: -15.6, -9.9) and specific mortality (AAPC = -13.0, 95% CI: -16.1, -9.8) rate of liver metastases in ovarian cancer. After adjusting all confounding factor, only receiving surgery was associated with OS [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.39, 95%CI: 0.31-0.48]/CSS (HR = 0.37, 95%CI: 0.30-0.47). Chemotherapy was found to be protective factor for OS (HR = 0.33, 95%CI: 0.30-0.37)/CSS (HR = 0.44, 95%CI: 0.39-0.50) of ovarian cancer patients, while not receiving surgery remained a risk factor. Additionally, the result of subgroup analyses also showed that only receiving surgery and chemotherapy still were significant protective factor of OS and CSS for patients without other distant metastases, with distant metastases to the bone, lung, brain or other organs, with bone metastasis, and with lung metastasis. CONCLUSION: Our research has elucidated a downward trend in morbidity and mortality rates among patients with liver metastases originating from ovarian cancer. Only receiving surgery and chemotherapy as therapies methods confer survival benefits to patients.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Hepáticas , Neoplasias Ovarianas , Humanos , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Neoplasias Ovarianas/patologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco , Prognóstico
6.
Ann Med ; 56(1): 2337729, 2024 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38569199

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Many studies have explored the value of the systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) in predicting the prognosis of patients with breast cancer (BC); however, their findings remain controversial. Consequently, we performed the present meta-analysis to accurately identify the role of SIRI in predicting BC prognosis. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases were comprehensively searched between their inception and February 10, 2024. The significance of SIRI in predicting overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in BC patients was analyzed by calculating pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Eight articles involving 2,997 patients with BC were enrolled in the present study. According to our combined analysis, a higher SIRI was markedly associated with dismal OS (HR = 2.43, 95%CI = 1.42-4.15, p < 0.001) but not poor DFS (HR = 2.59, 95%CI = 0.81-8.24, p = 0.107) in patients with BC. Moreover, based on the pooled results, a high SIRI was significantly related to T3-T4 stage (OR = 1.73, 95%CI = 1.40-2.14, p < 0.001), N1-N3 stage (OR = 1.61, 95%CI = 1.37-1.91, p < 0.001), TNM stage III (OR = 1.63, 95%CI = 1.34-1.98, p < 0.001), and poor differentiation (OR = 1.25, 95%CI = 1.02-1.52, p = 0.028). CONCLUSION: According to our results, a high SIRI significantly predicted poor OS in patients with BC. Furthermore, elevated SIRI was also remarkably related to increased tumor size and later BC tumor stage. The SIRI can serve as a novel prognostic biomarker for patients with BC.


Based on our knowledge, this study is the first meta-analysis to explore value of SIRI in predicting BC prognosis.According to our results, a high SIRI significantly predicted the dismal OS in BC patients.SIRI can serve as the novel prognostic biomarker for BC patients.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Humanos , Feminino , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Intervalo Livre de Doença , Inflamação/patologia
7.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord ; 24(1): 194, 2024 Apr 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38580951

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) is shown to be an independent protective factor against coronary artery diseases (CAD). Yet there are limited studies focusing on the association between HDL-C and coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery outcomes. HYPOTHESIS: Low levels of HDL-C are associated with higher incidence of adverse outcomes in patients undergoing CABG. METHODS: This registry-based study included 17,772 patients who underwent elective isolated CABG between 2007 and 2017. Patients were classified into low and desirable HDL-C groups based on their serum HDL-C levels at admission and were followed for one-year post-surgery. The study population included 13,321 patients with low HDL-C and 4,451 with desirable HDL-C. proportional hazard Cox models were performed to evaluate the association between HDL-C levels and incidence of mortality as well as major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), while adjusting for potential confounders. Moreover, participants were stratified based on sex and the association was also investigated in each subgroup separately. RESULTS: No significant difference was found between the groups regarding incidence of both mortality and MACCE, after adjusting with Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) [HR (95%CI): 0.84 (0.46-1.53), p-value:0.575 and HR (95% CI): 0.91 (0.56-1.50), p-value:0.733, respectively]. According to the sex-based subgroup analysis, no significant association was observed after adjustment with IPW analysis. However, as we examined the association between the interaction of HDL-C levels, sex and cardiovascular outcomes, we found a significant association (HR;1.19 (95%CI: 1.04-1.45); p = 0.030). CONCLUSION: HDL-C level was not associated with either mortality or MACCE during one year after CABG procedure. Sex-based analysis showed that in males, HDL-C is significantly more protective against these outcomes, compared to females. Further studies are necessary to elucidate the exact mechanisms mediating such association.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária , Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , HDL-Colesterol , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/efeitos adversos , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/diagnóstico por imagem , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/cirurgia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , LDL-Colesterol , Resultado do Tratamento , Fatores de Risco
8.
Zhonghua Zhong Liu Za Zhi ; 46(4): 344-353, 2024 Apr 23.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38644270

RESUMO

Objective: To analyze the prognostic factors and the influence of surgical margin to prognosis. Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed for 208 pelvic tumors who received surgical treatment from January 2000 to December 2017 in our instituition. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method and Log rank test, and impact factor analysis was performed using Cox regression models. Results: There were 183 initial patients and 25 recurrent cases. According to Enneking staging, 110 cases were stage ⅠB and 98 cases were stage ⅡB. 19 lesions were in zone Ⅰ, 1 in zone Ⅱ, 15 in zone Ⅲ, 29 in zone Ⅰ+Ⅱ, 71 in zone Ⅱ+Ⅲ, 29 in zone Ⅰ+Ⅳ, 35 in zone Ⅰ+Ⅱ+Ⅲ, 3 in zone Ⅰ+Ⅱ+Ⅳ, and 6 in zone Ⅰ+Ⅱ+Ⅲ+Ⅳ. Surgical margins including Intralesional excision in 7 cases, contaminated margin in 21 cases, marginal resection in 67 cases, and wide resection in 113 cases. Local recurrence occurred in 37 cases (17.8%), 25 cases were performed by reoperation and 12 cases received amputation finally. The 5-year recurrence rate of marginal resection was higher than wide resection (P<0.05), and the recurrence-free survival rate of marginal resection was lower than wide resection (P<0.05). There was significant differences in recurrence rate and recurrence-free survival rate between R0 and R1 resection (P<0.05). 92 cases were not reconstructed and 116 cases were reconstructed after pelvic surgery. At the last follow-up, 63 patients (30.3%) died, and the 5-year, 10-year and 15-year survival rates were 70.4%, 66.8% and 61.3%, respectively. The 5-year survival rate of stage ⅠB and ⅡB tumor was 90.4% and 46.8%, respectively. There were 29 cases had postoperative wound complications (13.8%), 1 case with pelvic organ injury. The final function was evaluated in 132 patients, with an average MSTS score of 25.1±3.6. Cox multivariate analysis showed that surgical staging, R0/R1 margin and metastasis were independent prognostic factors for pelvic tumors. Conclusions: The safe surgical margin is the key factor for recurrence-free of pelvic tumor. The survival rate of stage ⅡB pelvic tumors was significantly lower than that of stage ⅠB tumors. Wound infection is the main postoperative complication. Surgical staging, R0/R1 margin and metastasis were independent prognostic factors of pelvic tumors.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Ósseas , Margens de Excisão , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia , Ossos Pélvicos , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Ossos Pélvicos/cirurgia , Neoplasias Ósseas/cirurgia , Prognóstico , Taxa de Sobrevida , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Feminino , Reoperação , Masculino , Neoplasias Pélvicas/cirurgia , Neoplasias Pélvicas/patologia
9.
Zhonghua Fu Chan Ke Za Zhi ; 59(4): 307-319, 2024 Apr 25.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38644277

RESUMO

Objective: To establish and validate a predicting nomogram for cervical adenocarcinoma based on surveillance, epidemiology and end results (SEER) database and Chinese single-center data, and to explore the optimal treatment for cervical adenocarcinoma. Methods: This study selected 2 478 cervical adenocarcinoma patients from the SEER database as the training cohort, and 195 cervical adenocarcinoma patients from Cancer Hospital of Dalian University of Technology, Liaouing Cancer Hospital and Institute as an external validation cohort. Clinicopathological information and follow-up data of the two cohorts were collected. The radiotherapy group was defined as receiving comprehensive treatment based on concurrent chemoradiotherapy after initial diagnosis, while the surgery group was defined as receiving comprehensive treatment based on radical surgery. Log-rank test and cox regression were used to evaluate factors affecting the prognosis of cervical adenocarcinoma patients. A nomogram was drawn to predict the 3-year and 5-year overall survival rates of cervical adenocarcinoma patients, and then internal validation of the training cohort from SEER database and external validation of the hospital cohort were conducted. Results: (1) In the SEER database training cohort, there were 385 patients (15.54%, 385/2 478) in the radiotherapy group and 2 093 patients (84.46%, 2 093/2 478) in the surgery group. Overall survival time of the radiotherapy group was (55.8±51.3) months, while that of the surgery roup was (94.4±61.7) months, the difference between the two groups was statistically significant (χ2=256.44, P<0.001). Log-rank test showed that age, marital status, maximum of tumor diameters, pathological grade, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage, and treatments were all significant factors affecting the overall survival time of cervical adenocarcinoma patients (all P<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that elder (>50 years old), single status, huge tumors (>4 cm), high pathological grades (G2, G3), and advanced FIGO stages (≥Ⅱa2 stage) were independent risk factors for the overall survival time of cervical adenocarcinoma patients (all P<0.05); compared with radiotherapy, surgery was a protective factor for the prognosis of cervical adenocarcinoma patients (HR=0.619, 95%CI: 0.494-0.777; P<0.001). Further analysis of locally advanced stage and Ⅲc stage of patients showed that surgery was a protective factor for the prognosis of cervical adenocarcinoma patients with a maximum tumor diameter >4 to <6 cm (HR=0.414, 95%CI: 0.182-0.942; P=0.036) in locally advanced stage and Ⅲc T1 to T2 stage (HR=0.473, 95%CI: 0.307-0.728; P=0.001). (2) The external validation cohort consisted of 39 patients (20.00%, 39/195) in the radiotherapy group and 156 patients (80.00%, 156/195) in the surgery group. The overall survival time of patients in the radiotherapy group was (51.7±34.3) months, while that of the surgery group was (63.1±26.6) months (χ2=28.41, P<0.001). Further analysis was conducted on locally advanced stage and Ⅲc stage patients, and multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed after propensity score matching, which showed that surgery was a protective factor for the prognosis of cervical adenocarcinoma patients with a maximum tumor diameter >4 to <6 cm in locally advanced stage (HR=0.141, 95%CI: 0.023-0.843; P=0.032) and Ⅲc T1 to T2 stage (HR=0.184, 95%CI: 0.036-0.947; P=0.043). (3) Establishment and internal and external validation of nomogram: based on the six factors screened out by the multivariate Cox regression model, the nomogram was developed to predict the prognosis of cervical adenocarcinoma patients. The consistency index of the internal and external validation were 0.801 and 0.766, respectively, and the calibration curves matched well with the ideal fitting line. Conclusions: The key to the treatment of cervical adenocarcinoma is to prioritize radical surgery for patients with conditions for radical tumor resection. Compared with concurrent chemoradiotherapy, patients with locally advanced stages (Ⅰb3, Ⅱa2), and Ⅲc (T1, T2) stages cervical adenocarcinoma could benefit from comprehensive treatment based on radical surgery. The nomogram of this study has been validated internally and externally, and show good survival prediction efficacy for cervical adenocarcinoma patients.


Assuntos
Adenocarcinoma , Nomogramas , Programa de SEER , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero , Humanos , Feminino , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/terapia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/patologia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/mortalidade , Adenocarcinoma/terapia , Adenocarcinoma/patologia , Adenocarcinoma/mortalidade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Prognóstico , Taxa de Sobrevida , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , China/epidemiologia , Quimiorradioterapia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Bases de Dados Factuais , População do Leste Asiático
10.
Ann Med ; 56(1): 2338604, 2024 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38599340

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Circulating plasma cells (CPCs) are defined by the presence of peripheral blood clonal plasma cells, which would contribute to the progression and dissemination of multiple myeloma (MM). An increasing number of studies have demonstrated the predictive potential of CPCs in the past few years. Therefore, there is a growing need for an updated meta-analysis to identify the specific relationship between CPCs and the prognosis of MM based on the current research status. METHODS: The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases were screened to determine eligible studies from inception to November 5, 2023. Publications that reported the prognostic value of CPCs in MM patients were included. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were extracted to pool the results. Subgroup analyses were performed based on region, sample size, cut-off value, detection time, initial treatment, and data type. The association between CPCs level and clinicopathological characteristics, including the International Staging System (ISS), Revised-ISS (R-ISS), and cytogenetic abnormalities were also evaluated. Statistical analyses were conducted using STATA 17.0 software. RESULTS: Twenty-two studies with a total of 5637 myeloma patients were enrolled in the current meta-analysis. The results indicated that myeloma patients with elevated CPCs were expected to have a poor OS (HR = 2.19, 95% CI: 1.81-2.66, p < 0.001) and PFS (HR = 2.45, 95% CI: 1.93-3.12, p < 0.001). Subgroup analyses did not alter the prognostic role of CPCs, regardless of region, sample size, cut-off value, detection time, initial treatment, or data type. Moreover, the increased CPCs were significantly related to advanced tumour stage (ISS III vs. ISS I-II: pooled OR = 2.89, 95% CI: 2.41-3.46, p < 0.001; R-ISS III vs. R-ISS I-II: pooled OR = 3.65, 95% CI: 2.43-5.50, p < 0.001) and high-risk cytogenetics (high-risk vs. standard-risk: OR = 2.22, 95% CI: 1.60-3.08, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our meta-analysis confirmed that the increased number of CPCs had a negative impact on the PFS and OS of MM patients. Therefore, CPCs could be a promising prognostic biomarker that helps with risk stratification and disease monitoring.


There is a growing need for an updated meta-analysis to identify the specific relationship between CPCs and the prognosis of MM based on the current research status.Our meta-analysis revealed that a high CPCs level was significantly associated with worse OS and PFS in MM patients.CPCs could be a promising predictive biomarker that helps with risk stratification and disease monitoring.


Assuntos
Mieloma Múltiplo , Humanos , Mieloma Múltiplo/diagnóstico , Mieloma Múltiplo/terapia , Plasmócitos/patologia , Prognóstico , Biomarcadores , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
11.
Cancer Control ; 31: 10732748241246958, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38623948

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Identify predictors of overall survival (OS) after hypopharyngeal/laryngeal cancer in Florida. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from the Florida Cancer Data System (FCDS) on patients diagnosed with hypopharyngeal or laryngeal cancer from 2010-2017. Primary outcome was OS. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated from univariable and multivariable Cox regression models for OS. Data was analyzed from November 1, 2022, to June 30, 2023. RESULTS: We analyzed 6771 patients, who were primarily male (81.2%), White non-Hispanic (WNH) (78.2%), publicly insured (70.1%), married (51.8%), and residents of urban counties (73.6%). Black patients were more likely to be younger at diagnosis (38.9%), single (43.4%), to have distant SEER stage disease (25.6%). Median OS were lowest among patients who were uninsured (34 months), with hypopharyngeal site disease (18 months), and a smoking history (current: 34 months, former: 46 months, no smoking: 63 months). Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed worse OS for single/unmarried vs married (HR 1.47 [95%CI: 1.36-1.59], P < .001), history of tobacco use (current: HR 1.62 [95%CI: 1.440-1.817], P < .001; former smokers: (HR 1.28 [95%CI: 1.139-1.437], P < .001) vs no history). Improved OS was observed among White Hispanics (WH) vs WNH (HR .73 [95%CI: .655-.817], P < .001) and women vs men (HR .88 [95%CI: .807-.954], P = .002). Geographical mapping showed that mortality rates were highest in census tracts with low income and education. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that sociodemographic and clinical factors impact OS from hypopharyngeal/laryngeal cancer in Florida and vary geographically within the state. These results will help guide future public health interventions.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Laríngeas , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Florida/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Etnicidade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
12.
J Comp Eff Res ; 13(5): e230175, 2024 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38573331

RESUMO

Aim: This study aimed to improve comparative effectiveness estimates and discuss challenges encountered through the application of Bayesian borrowing (BB) methods to augment an external control arm (ECA) constructed from real-world data (RWD) using historical clinical trial data in first-line non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Materials & methods: An ECA for a randomized controlled trial (RCT) in first-line NSCLC was constructed using ConcertAI Patient360™ to assess chemotherapy with or without cetuximab, in the bevacizumab-inappropriate subpopulation. Cardinality matching was used to match patient characteristics between the treatment arm (cetuximab + chemotherapy) and ECA. Overall survival (OS) was assessed as the primary outcome using Cox proportional hazards (PH). BB was conducted using a static power prior under a Weibull PH parameterization with borrowing weights from 0.0 to 1.0 and augmentation of the ECA from a historical control trial. Results: The constructed ECA yielded a higher overall survival (OS) hazard ratio (HR) (HR = 1.53; 95% CI: 1.21-1.93) than observed in the matched population of the RCT (HR = 0.91; 95% CI: 0.73-1.13). The OS HR decreased through the incorporation of BB (HR = 1.30; 95% CI: 1.08-1.54, borrowing weight = 1.0). BB was applied to augment the RCT control arm via a historical control which improved the precision of the observed HR estimate (1.03; 95% CI: 0.86-1.22, borrowing weight = 1.0), in comparison to the matched population of the RCT alone. Conclusion: In this study, the RWD ECA was unable to successfully replicate the OS estimates from the matched population of the selected RCT. The inability to replicate could be due to unmeasured confounding and variations in time-periods, follow-up and subsequent therapy. Despite these findings, we demonstrate how BB can improve precision of comparative effectiveness estimates, potentially aid as a bias assessment tool and mitigate challenges of traditional methods when appropriate external data sources are available.


Assuntos
Teorema de Bayes , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/tratamento farmacológico , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/mortalidade , Neoplasias Pulmonares/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidade , Neoplasias Pulmonares/terapia , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Cetuximab/uso terapêutico , Cetuximab/administração & dosagem , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Pesquisa Comparativa da Efetividade/métodos , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto/métodos , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
13.
J Obstet Gynaecol ; 44(1): 2333784, 2024 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38602239

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer (CC) is the second most common malignancy in women, and identifying biomarkers of CC is crucial for prognosis prediction. Here, we investigated the expression of AF4/FMR2 Family Member 3 (AFF3) in CC and its association with clinicopathological features and prognosis. METHODS: Tumour and adjacent tissues, along with clinicopathological features and follow-up information, were collected from 78 patients. AFF3 expression was assessed using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction and Western blotting. The correlation between AFF3 expression and CC symptoms was using chi-square test. The 5-year overall survival (OS) was analysed using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Univariate analysis of prognostic risk factors was conducted using the COX proportional hazards model, followed by multivariate COX regression analysis including variables with p < 0.01. RESULTS: AFF3 expression was downregulated in CC, and its levels were correlated with lymph node metastasis (LNM) and International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage. Patients with low AFF3 expression had a lower 5-year OS rate (52.78%, 19/36). Postoperative survival was reduced in patients with histological grade 3 (G3), myometrial invasion (depth ≥ 1/2), lymphovascular space invasion, LNM, and advanced FIGO stage. Low expression of AFF3 (HR: 2.848, 95% CI: 1.144-7.090) and histological grade G3 (HR: 4.393, 95% CI: 1.663-11.607) were identified as independent prognostic risk factors in CC patients. CONCLUSION: Low expression of AFF3 and histological G3 are independent predictors of poor prognosis in CC patients, suggesting that AFF3 could serve as a potential biomarker for prognostic assessment in CC.


Cervical cancer is a significant health concern worldwide, responsible for over 300,000 deaths annually and ranking as the fourth most common cancer in women. Existing screening methods have limitations, highlighting the need for innovative therapies. In our research, we identified a specific genetic material that varied significantly among cervical cancer patients with varying survival outcomes, detected in tissue samples obtained post-surgery. Our study demonstrates the considerable potential of this marker for accurately predicting outcomes in our study population. By analysing differences in the expression of this genetic marker, we can forecast the prognosis and progression of cervical cancer. These findings offer valuable insights for advancing cervical cancer treatment strategies, potentially improving outcomes for patients. Early detection and targeted treatment based on this genetic marker could extend patients' lives and prevent fatalities by enabling timely medical intervention and management.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Colo do Útero , Humanos , Feminino , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/patologia , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase em Tempo Real , Metástase Linfática , Proteínas Nucleares
14.
PLoS One ; 19(4): e0300054, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38635747

RESUMO

This study aimed to identify underlying demographic and clinical characteristics among individuals who had previously attempted suicide, utilizing the comprehensive Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA) database. Data of patients aged 18 and above who had attempted suicide between January 1 and December 31, 2014, recorded in HIRA, were extracted. The index date was identified when a suicide attempt was made within the year 2014. The medical history of the three years before the index date and seven years of follow-up data after the index date were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier estimate was used to infer reattempt of the suicide attempters, and Cox-proportional hazard analysis was used to investigate risk factors associated with suicide reattempts. A total of 17,026 suicide attempters were identified, of which 1,853 (10.9%) reattempted suicide; 4,925 (28.9%) patients had been diagnosed with depressive disorder. Of the reattempters, 391 (21.1%) demonstrated a history of suicide attempts in the three years before the index date, and the mean number of prior attempts was higher compared to that of the non-reattempters (1.7 vs.1.3, p-value < 0.01). Prior psychiatric medication, polypharmacy, and an increase in the number of psychotropics were associated with suicide reattempt in overall suicide attempters. (Hazard ratio (HR) = 3.20, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.56-4.00; HR = 2.42, 95% CI = 1.87-3.14; HR = 19.66, 95% CI = 15.22-25.39 respectively). The risk of reattempt decreased in individuals receiving antidepressant prescriptions compared to those unmedicated, showing a reduction of 78% when prescribed by non-psychiatrists and 89% when prescribed by psychiatrists. Similar risk factors for suicide reattempts were observed in the depressive disorder subgroup, but the median time to reattempt was shorter (556.5 days) for this group compared to that for the overall attempters (578 days). Various risk factors including demographics, clinical characteristics, and medications should be considered to prevent suicide reattempts among suicide attempters, and patients with depressive disorder should be monitored more closely.


Assuntos
Tentativa de Suicídio , Humanos , Tentativa de Suicídio/psicologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , República da Coreia/epidemiologia
15.
Zhonghua Zhong Liu Za Zhi ; 46(4): 335-343, 2024 Apr 23.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38644269

RESUMO

Objectives: To assess the prognostic impact of the neoadjuvant rectal (NAR) score following neoadjuvant short-course radiotherapy and consolidation chemotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), as well as its value in guiding decisions for adjuvant chemotherapy. Methods: Between August 2015 and August 2018, patients were eligible from the STELLAR phase III trial (NCT02533271) who received short-course radiotherapy plus consolidation chemotherapy and for whom the NAR score could be calculated. Based on the NAR score, patients were categorized into low (<8), intermediate (8-16), and high (>16) groups. The Kaplan-Meier method, log rank tests, and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to evaluate the impact of the NAR score on disease-free survival (DFS). Results: Out of the 232 patients, 24.1%, 48.7%, and 27.2% had low (56 cases), intermediate (113 cases), and high NAR scores (63 cases), respectively. The median follow-up period was 37 months, with 3-year DFS rates of 87.3%, 68.3%, and 53.4% (P<0.001) for the low, intermediate, and high NAR score groups. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the NAR score (intermediate NAR score: HR, 3.10, 95% CI, 1.30-7.37, P=0.011; high NAR scores: HR=5.44, 95% CI, 2.26-13.09, P<0.001), resection status (HR, 3.00, 95% CI, 1.64-5.52, P<0.001), and adjuvant chemotherapy (HR, 3.25, 95% CI, 2.01-5.27, P<0.001) were independent prognostic factors for DFS. In patients with R0 resection, the 3-year DFS rates were 97.8% and 78.0% for those with low and intermediate NAR scores who received adjuvant chemotherapy, significantly higher than the 43.2% and 50.6% for those who did not (P<0.001, P=0.002). There was no significant difference in the 3-year DFS rate (54.2% vs 53.3%, P=0.214) among high NAR score patients, regardless of adjuvant chemotherapy. Conclusions: The NAR score is a robust prognostic indicator in LARC following neoadjuvant short-course radiotherapy and consolidation chemotherapy, with potential implications for subsequent decisions regarding adjuvant chemotherapy. These findings warrant further validation in studies with larger sample sizes.


Assuntos
Quimioterapia de Consolidação , Terapia Neoadjuvante , Neoplasias Retais , Humanos , Neoplasias Retais/patologia , Neoplasias Retais/terapia , Quimioterapia Adjuvante , Prognóstico , Intervalo Livre de Doença , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Masculino , Feminino , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapêutico , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Taxa de Sobrevida , Reto
16.
Nutr J ; 23(1): 45, 2024 Apr 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38644466

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer is the most common malignancy in women worldwide. The relationship between remnant cholesterol (RC) and the prognosis of patients with breast cancer has not been clearly reported. This study investigated the prognostic value of RC in predicting mortality in patients with breast cancer. METHODS: This study prospectively analysed 709 women patients with breast cancer from the Investigation on Nutrition Status and Clinical Outcome of Common Cancers (INSCOC) project. Restricted cubic splines were used to analyse the dose-response relationship between RC and breast cancer mortality. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to evaluate the overall survival of patients with breast cancer. A Cox regression analyses was performed to assess the independent association between RC and breast cancer mortality. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) using the propensity score was used to reduce confounding. Sensitivity analysis was performed after excluding patients with underlying diseases and survival times shorter than one year. RESULTS: A linear dose-response relationship was identified between RC and the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with breast cancer (p = 0.036). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank test showed that patients with high RC levels had poorer survival than those with low RC levels (p = 0.007). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that RC was an independent risk factor for mortality in women patients with breast cancer. IPTW-adjusted analyses and sensitivity analyses showed that CR remained a prognostic factor. CONCLUSIONS: RC is an independent risk factor for the prognosis of patients with breast cancer, and patients with higher RC levels have poorer survival.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Colesterol , Lipoproteínas , Humanos , Feminino , Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Colesterol/sangue , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Prognóstico , Adulto , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Fatores de Risco , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Biomarcadores/sangue , Triglicerídeos/sangue , Idoso
17.
Int J Behav Nutr Phys Act ; 21(1): 44, 2024 Apr 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38659037

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Community-level group sports participation is a structural aspect of social capital that can potentially impact individual health in a contextual manner. This study aimed to investigate contextual relationship between the community-level prevalence of group sports participation and the risk of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer mortality in older adults. METHODS: In this 7-year longitudinal cohort study, data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study, a nationwide survey encompassing 43,088 functionally independent older adults residing in 311 communities, were used. Cause of death data were derived from the Japanese governmental agency, The Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, for secondary use. "Participation" was defined as engaging in group sports for one or more days per month. To analyze the data, a two-level survival analysis was employed, and hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. RESULTS: Among the participants, 5,711 (13.3%) deaths were identified, with 1,311 related to CVD and 2,349 to cancer. The average group sports participation rate was 28.3% (range, 10.0-52.7%). After adjusting for individual-level group sports participation and potential confounders, a higher community-level group sports participation rate was found to be significantly associated with a lower risk of both all-cause mortality (HR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.83-0.95) and cancer mortality (HR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.81-0.98) for every 10% point increase in the participation rate. For CVD mortality, the association became less significant in the model adjusted for all covariates (HR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.82-1.09). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support the existence of a preventive relationship between community-level group sports participation and the occurrence of all-cause and cancer mortality among older individuals. Promoting group sports within communities holds promise as an effective population-based strategy for extending life expectancy, regardless of individual participation in these groups.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Neoplasias , Esportes , Humanos , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Japão/epidemiologia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Causas de Morte , Fatores de Risco , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
18.
Cell Mol Biol (Noisy-le-grand) ; 70(3): 89-94, 2024 Mar 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38650151

RESUMO

The association between the cuproptosis-related genes and the immune infiltration and their prognostic value in thyroid carcinoma is still unexplored. Bioinformatics analyses were performed with data obtained from the TCGA dataset. The aberrantly expressed genes were selected. KEGG and GO analyses were conducted to explore the enriched pathways of the up-regulated or down-regulated genes in thyroid carcinoma. Totally 1495 genes were differentially expressed (691 up-regulated, 804 down-regulated) in thyroid carcinoma (p<0.05). The 10 cuproptosis-related RNAs (DLD, LIAS, LIPT1, FDX1, DLAT, MTF1, PDHA1, CDKN2A, GLS and PDHB) were also demonstrated to be aberrantly expressed in thyroid carcinoma patients tissues. FDX1 expression was correlated with the overall survival in thyroid carcinoma patients (HR=0.4995, 95% CI: 0.2688-0.9285, p=0.0282). Further multivariate cox regression analysis revealed that DLD (HR=24.8869, 95% CI: 4.48772-138.01181, p=0.00024), and LIAS (HR=7.74092, 95% CI: 1.12194-53.40898, p=0.03783) were associated with the survival of thyroid carcinoma patients. The immune infiltration analysis demonstrated that significant correlation between the 10 cuproptosis-related genes and immune infiltration in thyroid carcinoma (p<0.01). We presented the expression profiles of dysregulated genes in thyroid carcinoma. The findings of our study highlighted the potential of cuproptosis-related genes as prognostic biomarkers for thyroid carcinoma.


Assuntos
Regulação Neoplásica da Expressão Gênica , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide , Humanos , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/genética , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/imunologia , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/mortalidade , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/patologia , Prognóstico , Feminino , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Perfilação da Expressão Gênica , Biomarcadores Tumorais/genética , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Biologia Computacional/métodos
19.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(4): e247974, 2024 Apr 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38652473

RESUMO

Importance: The associations of changes in sleep patterns with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) are not fully elucidated, and whether these associations are modified by genetic susceptibility remains unknown. Objectives: To investigate the associations of 5-year changes in sleep patterns with incident CVD and whether genetic susceptibility modifies these associations. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study of the Dongfeng-Tongji cohort was conducted from 2008 to 2018 in China. Eligible participants included those with complete sleep information at baseline survey (2008-2010) and the first follow-up survey (2013); participants who had no CVD or cancer in 2013 were prospectively assessed until 2018. Statistical analysis was performed in November 2023. Exposures: Five-year changes in sleep patterns (determined by bedtime, sleep duration, sleep quality, and midday napping) between 2008 and 2013, and polygenic risk scores (PRS) for coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident CVD, CHD, and stroke were identified from 2013 to 2018. Cox proportional hazards regression models were applied to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. Results: Among 15 306 individuals (mean [SD] age, 65.8 [7.4] years; 8858 [57.9%] female and 6448 male [42.1%]), 5474 (35.78%) had persistent unfavorable sleep patterns and 3946 (25.8%) had persistent favorable sleep patterns. A total of 3669 incident CVD cases were documented, including 2986 CHD cases and 683 stroke cases, over a mean (SD) follow-up of 4.9 (1.5) years. Compared with those with persistent unfavorable sleep patterns, individuals with persistent favorable sleep patterns over 5 years had lower risks of incident CVD (HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.73-0.87), CHD (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.76-0.92), and stroke (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.54-0.82) in the subsequent 5-year period. No significant effect modification by PRS was observed for sleep pattern change and CHD or stroke risk. However, sleep pattern changes and PRS were jointly associated with the CHD and stroke risk in a dose-dependent manner, with the lowest risk being among those with persistent favorable sleep patterns combined with low PRS (HR for CHD, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.52-0.82 and HR for stroke, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.29-0.79). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of middle-aged and older Chinese adults, individuals with persistent favorable sleep patterns had a lower CVD risk, even among those with higher genetic risk. These findings highlight the importance of maintaining favorable sleep patterns for CVD prevention.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Sono , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , China/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/genética , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Sono/fisiologia , Incidência , Fatores de Risco , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
20.
Yonsei Med J ; 65(5): 283-292, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38653567

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Lower-grade gliomas of histologic grades 2 and 3 follow heterogenous clinical outcomes, which necessitates risk stratification. This study aimed to evaluate whether diffusion-weighted and perfusion-weighted MRI radiomics allow overall survival (OS) prediction in patients with lower-grade gliomas and investigate its prognostic value. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, radiomic features were extracted from apparent diffusion coefficient, relative cerebral blood volume map, and Ktrans map in patients with pathologically confirmed lower-grade gliomas (January 2012-February 2019). The radiomics risk score (RRS) calculated from selected features constituted a radiomics model. Multivariable Cox regression analysis, including clinical features and RRS, was performed. The models' integrated area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (iAUCs) were compared. The radiomics model combined with clinical features was presented as a nomogram. RESULTS: The study included 129 patients (median age, 44 years; interquartile range, 37-57 years; 63 female): 90 patients for training set and 39 patients for test set. The RRS was an independent risk factor for OS with a hazard ratio of 6.01. The combined clinical and radiomics model achieved superior performance for OS prediction compared to the clinical model in both training (iAUC, 0.82 vs. 0.72, p=0.002) and test sets (0.88 vs. 0.76, p=0.04). The radiomics nomogram combined with clinical features exhibited good agreement between the actual and predicted OS with C-index of 0.83 and 0.87 in the training and test sets, respectively. CONCLUSION: Adding diffusion- and perfusion-weighted MRI radiomics to clinical features improved survival prediction in lower-grade glioma.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Encefálicas , Imagem de Difusão por Ressonância Magnética , Glioma , Humanos , Glioma/diagnóstico por imagem , Glioma/mortalidade , Glioma/patologia , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Masculino , Adulto , Imagem de Difusão por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Neoplasias Encefálicas/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Encefálicas/mortalidade , Neoplasias Encefálicas/patologia , Prognóstico , Curva ROC , Nomogramas , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Gradação de Tumores , 60570
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